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Calibri;\">3 \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px;\">月 \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 14px; font-family: Calibri;\">14 \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px;\">日，中金公司发布研报，估计 \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 14px; font-family: Calibri;\">1 \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px;\">月和 \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 14px; font-family: Calibri;\">2 \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px;\">月注塑机需求较去年同期增\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px; text-indent: 2em;\">长或有双位数；大型压铸机需求较好，一体化压铸产业趋势延续。该机构长期看好力劲\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px; text-indent: 2em;\">科技并维持覆盖公司盈利预测、评级及目标价不变。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>",1721033979000,331,{"id":297,"uuid":298,"addDate":299,"addUser":285,"updateDate":300,"updateUser":287,"sid":288,"catId":289,"source":301,"title":302,"subTitle":26,"img":291,"summary":303,"content":304,"pubDate":305,"isShow":44,"viewCount":306,"isRecommend":44,"level":51,"prevNews":51,"nextNews":51},1041,"9d99330e-8803-437e-a6de-b7f5a79ff98c",1720689134000,1783087314000,"中金研报","注塑机与压铸机月跟踪(10)：关注节后复苏持续性"," 我们估计1月注塑机需求环比持平\u002F微增；大型压铸机需求较好，一体化压铸产业","\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">我们估计1月注塑机需求环比持平\u002F微增；大型压铸机需求较好，一体化压铸产业趋势延续。 \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">评论\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">注塑机：开年需求正常，关注春节后复苏持续性。根据我们近期对设备厂商的调研，我们判断1 月注塑机需求延续去年下半年弱复苏趋势、同比增长、环比持平或微增。分结构看，我们判断下游行业汽车仍较有支撑，日用品等需求持续有所恢复。毛利率端看，我们估计行业订单不饱和下价格竞争情况仍存，各梯队厂家均有不同程度的价格调整，但原材料成本下行（约滞后3 个月）或对毛利率形成一定支撑。制造业高频数据方面，1月制造业PMI为49.2%，环比+0.2ppt，但仍处于收缩区间；其他通用设备来看，1-12月金属切削机床产量\u002F工业机器人产量\u002F叉车销量同比+6.4%\u002F-2.2%\u002F+12.0%，整体有所恢复。 \u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">压铸机：小鹏16000T一体化压铸机有望Q1 投产，力劲20000T\u002F双压射在研。压铸产业端，我们判断，小型压铸机下游需求与注塑机较为类似、有所复苏，而1,000T以上大型压铸机得益于汽车轻量化、需求或更有支撑。 \u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">23年12月和24年1月初多款采用一体压铸的车型公开，包括蔚来ET9、小鹏X9、问界M9、小米SU7、极氪007、哪吒山海平台相关车型，新势力车企一体压铸进度较快，推动产业趋势提速。压铸设备端，据小鹏发布会，力劲提供给小鹏的12000吨一体化压铸机已投入生产小鹏X9后地板，我们判断16000吨一体化压铸机或将在今年Q1投产；同时，23年12月力劲还宣布与哪吒首次合作研发20000T+压铸设备，与奇瑞签约全球首个超万吨双压射工艺。伊之密目前已完成6,000吨～9,000吨超大型压铸机研发，并已累计获得10台左右超大型压铸机订单，其中9,000吨压铸机已完成小批量试制，2023年8月末2台7,000吨压铸机出货给长安（共4台订单），我们认为这标志着公司与主机厂合作的进展突破，五沙第三工厂也已于去年投产、可年产大型&超大型压铸机100 台，产能储备充沛。 \u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">估值与建议\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">短期建议投资者密切关注下游需求拐点的出现，长期我们看好具备产业竞争力的海天国际、伊之密、力劲科技；维持覆盖公司盈利预测、评级及目标价不变。 \u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">风险\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">注塑机需求不及预期；竞争加剧；一体压铸工艺渗透不达预期。\u003C\u002Fp>",1708679306000,529,{"id":308,"uuid":309,"addDate":310,"addUser":285,"updateDate":311,"updateUser":287,"sid":288,"catId":289,"source":312,"title":313,"subTitle":26,"img":314,"summary":315,"content":316,"pubDate":317,"isShow":44,"viewCount":318,"isRecommend":44,"level":52,"prevNews":51,"nextNews":51},1032,"122e0cc4-8a51-44a0-bc9c-37417be7a0d1",1720681619000,1783087307000,"压铸周刊","日系车企开始引入一体化压铸技术","\u002Fupload\u002Fimages\u002F2024\u002F07\u002F31\u002F45c777a3ee4648fc919a9863130be031.jpg","日系的进入代表一体化压铸正式进入全球所有车企的视野，大家都在尝试往这条路尝","\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">日系的进入代表一体化压铸正式进入全球所有车企的视野，大家都在尝试往这条路尝试:\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">日产宣布，从2027财年开始，将使用一体化压铸机制造电动车底盘，这一举措预计将降低制造成本约10%，成为日产实现到2030年电动汽车和内燃机汽车价格平价的关键之日产的执行副总裁Hideyuki0Sakamoto表示，日产横滨木工厂十多年来一直在使用铸造工艺生产空调结构件，因此在铸造汽车结构方面拥有丰富的经验。\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">日产使用的压铸技术主要用于制造小型汽车零部件，但这次的一体化压铸技术应用让他们有了更大的突破。“最终，我们决定使用一台6000吨的一体化压铸机，用铝铸件制造汽车的后车身结构"\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">本田中国正式发布专为中国市场推出的全新电动品牌“烨”，同时三款全新车型“烨S7”“烨P7”“烨GT CONCEPT”全球首发。\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">采用本田中国专为中国消费者打造的智能纯电“W”架构，搭载“三合一”高功率驱动电机和一体化压铸全铝外壳的大容量、高密度电池，并采用特别设计的分体隔离式电池冷却系统，能够从内至外多重保护电池安全。\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em;\">丰田汽车在技术研讨会上，计划在即将推出的电动汽车上采用千兆压铸工艺打造的车身，技术工艺与特斯拉提出的“一体化压铸工艺”类似，丰田在制造中将汽车车身分为三个主要铸件--前部、中部(搭载电池组)、后部，从而实现“重要部件集成”。\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>",1715324774000,539]